Colorado started 2017 by “running out of the gate” with strong supply of tax-exempt municipal bonds evidenced by net issuance hitting $1.28 billion in January, due primarily to a record $3.21 billion in general obligation bonds approved across the state during the November 2016 election. Net issuance is the difference between the volume of municipal bonds issued and the amount matured or called. More recently, net issuance in Colorado has declined by $1.54 billion in June, due to $1.82 billion of municipal bonds maturing or being called.
Demand for Colorado bonds has strengthened in recent months due not only to the impact of declining net issuance, but also the increased dollars sitting on the sidelines as the result of bonds maturing or being called. We expect supply constraints and strong demand for municipal bonds will continue for at least the next several months as municipal bond issuance is unlikely to satisfy investor demand. Lipper US Fund Flows data released recently indicates municipal bond mutual funds have seen an average weekly year-to-date inflow of approximately $236 million as investors are facing increasing difficulty sourcing bonds. In addition, credit spreads between high and low investment grade municipal bonds have tightened to the point that investors are assuming measurable credit risk for the addition of only a few basis points.
Vice President, Municipal Bond Credit Analyst
Kirkpatrick Pettis Capital Management
Investments in bonds may decline in value due to rising interest rates, a real or perceived decline in credit quality of the issuer, borrower, counterparty, or collateral, adverse tax or legislative changes, court decisions, market or economic conditions.